A modest prediction for the next 20 years
If you’re new here, this blog will give you the tools to become financially independent in 5 years. The wiki page gives a good summary of the principles of the strategy. The key to success is to run your personal finances much like a business, thinking about assets and inventory and focusing on efficiency and value for money. Not just any business but a business that’s flexible, agile, and adaptable. Conversely most consumers run their personal finances like an inflexible money-losing anti-business always in danger on losing their jobs to the next wave of downsizing. Here’s more than a hundred online journals from people, who are following the ERE strategy tailored to their particular situation (age, children, location, education, goals, …). Increasing their savings from the usual 5-15% of their income to tens of thousands of dollars each year or typically 40-80% of their income, many accumulate six-figure net-worths within a few years. Since everybody’s situation is different (age, education, location, children, goals, …) I suggest only spending a brief moment on this blog, which can be thought of as my personal journal, before delving into the forum journals and looking for the crowd’s wisdom for your particular situation.
Predicting the future always provides an excellent opportunity to make a fool out of oneself. One is almost destined to be wrong on some part or the other. If nothing else, the timing might be off, or the details may not be exactly right.
I have noted that whereas pre-1980 predictions mostly envisioned the future as a completely revamped and clean place, post-1980 and onwards envisioned the future as a harsher reality superimposed on the past.
Let’s face it. We’re not just going to tear down the current structures and start afresh. Evolution does not happen by starting from scratch. Rather structures evolve by adding corrections onto existing structures until said structures may not be recognisable from their original purpose(*).